Cruz Azul vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
CAZ
62%
23%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 2
AUR
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
CAZ
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NEC
2 - 0
CAZ
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
CAZ
0 - 0
CAÑ
56%
22%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
MER
3 - 0
TOR
43%
26%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
ALE
2 - 1
MER
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
MER
5 - 3
DEL
40%
26%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
EST
2 - 2
MER
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
DEL
1 - 0
MER
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |