Cruz Azul vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAZ
3 - 0
IRA
31%
27%
43%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
UDG
0 - 1
CAZ
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CAF
0 - 1
CAZ
57%
24%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 3
LOB
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
VER
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
REB
1 - 1
MER
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MER
3 - 1
TOR
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
DOR
3 - 0
MER
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
MER
3 - 0
TOR
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |