Cruz Azul vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 0
CAZ
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 1
LEO
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ALT
0 - 0
CAZ
39%
27%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
UDG
1 - 2
CAZ
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TIJ
37%
29%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MER
2 - 0
UAT
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LOB
2 - 1
MER
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
ORI
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
MER
2 - 0
PUM
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
DUR
1 - 1
MER
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |