Clausura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Cruz Azul vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
CAZ
3 - 0
JAG
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LOB
3 - 2
CAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
TIJ
1 - 0
CAZ
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
AGU
0 - 1
CAZ
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CAZ
0 - 0
ORI
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
CSL
1 - 4
MER
25%
26%
48%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MER
2 - 1
GUE
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 1
MER
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
MER
2 - 1
QRO
50%
24%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
IRA
0 - 0
MER
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |