Cruz Azul vs Tuxtla FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MEX
1 - 0
CAZ
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CAZ
1 - 0
LOB
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
CAZ
0 - 0
ORI
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
PUM
1 - 1
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CAZ
1 - 2
MER
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tuxtla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
JAG
0 - 2
VER
16%
24%
60%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 0
JAG
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MEX
2 - 1
JAG
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
JAG
4 - 4
LOB
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
ORI
1 - 0
JAG
63%
23%
15%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |