Cruz Azul vs Tuxtla FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LOB
3 - 2
CAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
TIJ
1 - 0
CAZ
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
AGU
0 - 1
CAZ
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CAZ
0 - 0
ORI
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 2
CAZ
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tuxtla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
JAG
2 - 2
TIJ
23%
25%
52%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 1
JAG
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
JAG
2 - 1
ORI
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
DUR
1 - 1
JAG
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
JAG
1 - 2
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |