Cruz Azul vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
MON
3 - 0
CAZ
33%
28%
40%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
CAZ
4 - 0
TEC
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ORI
1 - 0
CAZ
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
CAZ
2 - 0
PUM
42%
28%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
MER
2 - 1
CAZ
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
DUR
3 - 2
TIJ
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 5
DUR
44%
28%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
SAG
1 - 4
DUR
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
DUR
1 - 3
QRO
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
TIG
1 - 2
DUR
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |