Cruz Azul vs Dorados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ALT
3 - 4
CAZ
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
UAT
5 - 0
CAZ
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAZ
2 - 3
TOR
35%
27%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
CAZ
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAZ
2 - 1
LAP
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 1
TOR
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
VER
1 - 0
DOR
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 2
LAP
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 0
DOR
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 0
PUM
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |