Cruz Azul vs Deportivo Dongu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CUA
0 - 1
CAZ
24%
28%
48%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
IPC
1 - 1
CAZ
46%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CAZ
2 - 0
CCM
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CAZ
2 - 2
IRA
39%
26%
36%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
IRA
0 - 2
CAZ
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Dongu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
AZO
1 - 4
DON
55%
24%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
DON
4 - 2
CCM
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CIE
2 - 3
DON
39%
24%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
DON
0 - 7
IRA
17%
24%
59%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
DON
0 - 1
ZIT
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |