Cruz Azul vs Académicos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ORI
0 - 1
CAZ
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CAZ
1 - 1
DUR
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
MON
3 - 0
CAZ
33%
28%
40%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
CAZ
4 - 0
TEC
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ORI
1 - 0
CAZ
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Académicos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
AGU
0 - 0
TIJ
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 1
AGU
52%
27%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 5
DUR
44%
28%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2008 |
AGU
3 - 0
REB
42%
26%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
GUE
0 - 0
AGU
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |