Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-8
Crusaders vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
VCF
4 - 0
CRU
80%
13%
8%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
ELC
1 - 0
VCF
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1967 |
VCF
5 - 0
CCF
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
VCF
4 - 0
CRU
80%
13%
8%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
SAB
2 - 0
VCF
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1967 |
VCF
2 - 1
BET
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |