Crusaders vs PSNI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
4.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
WAR
1 - 2
CRU
18%
21%
61%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CRU
0 - 2
LIN
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CRU
2 - 2
BAL
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
CRU
4 - 2
ARD
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
CRU
1 - 1
OLI
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
PSN
1 - 2
DUN
31%
23%
46%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
PSN
63%
21%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
PSN
1 - 4
BAL
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
PSN
1 - 0
BAN
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
PSN
1 - 1
LIN
13%
17%
71%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |