Crusaders vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
6º
5º
16
11º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 2
GLE
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
CLI
0 - 0
CRU
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 3
CRU
14%
22%
64%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 0
BAL
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
POR
1 - 3
NEW
27%
26%
48%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
POR
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
POR
48%
22%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
GLE
16%
21%
63%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 0
POR
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |