Crusaders vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
6º
5º
16
11º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
GLE
3 - 1
CRU
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CRU
5 - 1
DUN
76%
16%
7%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 2
CRU
42%
24%
34%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
KNO
2 - 4
CRU
8%
15%
77%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CRU
1 - 1
BAS
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
POR
0 - 2
COL
13%
23%
64%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
4 - 0
POR
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 1
POR
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
DOL
5 - 1
POR
42%
24%
35%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
LOU
3 - 0
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |