Crusaders vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 0
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GLE
3 - 1
CRU
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 1
CRU
8%
15%
77%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CRU
4 - 0
BAN
84%
12%
5%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CRU
3 - 1
HAR
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
GLE
21%
22%
57%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
CLI
3 - 0
POR
71%
17%
13%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
COL
0 - 1
POR
69%
19%
13%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
DOL
0 - 2
POR
32%
23%
45%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
LFC
0 - 6
POR
4%
9%
87%
|
53 | 6 | 47 | 0 |