Crusaders vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
GLE
3 - 1
CRU
17%
21%
63%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
CRU
3 - 1
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
LAR
2 - 1
CRU
33%
24%
43%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
CRU
1 - 0
COL
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 3
POR
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
POR
0 - 0
BAL
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CLI
5 - 0
POR
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
4 - 1
POR
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
POR
1 - 2
LIN
17%
23%
60%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |