Crusaders vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 4
CRU
31%
26%
44%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 1
CRU
19%
21%
61%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CRU
3 - 1
CAR
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
COL
1 - 0
CRU
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 1
POR
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
POR
13%
21%
66%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
POR
3 - 3
CLI
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 0
POR
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -2 |