Crusaders vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CRU
4 - 1
LIS
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 3
CRU
37%
24%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
CRU
0 - 1
LIN
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
COL
1 - 3
CRU
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CRU
5 - 0
CLI
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
LIS
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
CLI
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 3
CRU
37%
24%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 1
POR
27%
22%
51%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 1
POR
29%
25%
47%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |