Crusaders vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 1
CRU
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
GLE
2 - 1
CRU
25%
24%
51%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIN
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
DUN
2 - 3
CRU
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GLE
3 - 1
CRU
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
COL
1 - 3
POR
49%
23%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
POR
0 - 1
GLE
35%
25%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
POR
3 - 0
DON
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
NEW
4 - 2
POR
29%
25%
47%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
LIN
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |