Crusaders vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 2
CLI
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
CRU
2 - 0
LIS
68%
20%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 1
CRU
34%
27%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 2
INS
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 1
CRU
40%
25%
34%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
POR
1 - 3
BAL
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
BAL
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 5
POR
24%
22%
54%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
CLI
2 - 1
POR
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
LIN
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |