Crusaders vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
RAB
4 - 2
CRU
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 1
RAB
57%
24%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
CLI
0 - 1
CRU
43%
24%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
CRU
0 - 5
LIN
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CLI
0 - 0
CRU
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
DON
0 - 2
POR
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
DER
0 - 3
POR
14%
20%
66%
|
63 | 26 | 37 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
LIM
0 - 3
POR
16%
21%
62%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
POR
7 - 0
GLE
81%
14%
6%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
ARC
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |