Crusaders vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
LIN
8 - 1
CRU
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
CRU
4 - 5
DON
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
LIS
2 - 4
CRU
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 1
CRU
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
GLE
1 - 2
LOU
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
LOU
5 - 1
ARD
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
LOU
1 - 2
BAL
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
LOU
1 - 0
BAL
78%
14%
8%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
LOU
4 - 1
INS
70%
18%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |