Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
4º
2º
85
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 10 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
64 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
85 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
75 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LAR
0 - 1
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
CRU
10%
19%
71%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CRU
1 - 1
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 4
CRU
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 0
LIN
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 3
LIN
24%
25%
50%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
GLE
1 - 3
LIN
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LIN
6 - 0
NEW
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LIN
3 - 1
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |