Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 0
CRU
46%
25%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
WAR
2 - 4
CRU
14%
20%
66%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
CRU
2 - 3
BAL
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 1
CRU
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
CRU
0 - 2
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
BAL
3 - 1
LIN
36%
24%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
LIN
14%
22%
63%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
LIN
11 - 0
PSN
87%
9%
4%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LIN
3 - 0
DUN
83%
12%
4%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 1
LIN
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |