Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CLI
1 - 1
CRU
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
CRU
0 - 1
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 4
CRU
31%
26%
44%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 1
CRU
19%
21%
61%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CRU
3 - 1
CAR
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 7
LIN
16%
20%
63%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 1
CLI
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 1
POR
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 3
LIN
15%
21%
64%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LIN
4 - 0
DON
74%
17%
8%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |