Crusaders vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 1
CRU
40%
25%
34%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 1
GLE
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
CRU
3 - 4
POR
47%
23%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 1
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
CRU
46%
24%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
INS
2 - 2
COL
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 1
INS
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 2
INS
50%
23%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
35%
26%
40%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
LIN
2 - 2
INS
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +1 |