Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-6
Crusaders vs IFK Norrköping analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1967 |
CRU
2 - 4
VCF
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
VCF
4 - 0
CRU
80%
13%
8%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Norrköping
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
NOR
0 - 1
GÖT
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1968 |
NOR
3 - 0
HEL
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1968 |
ELF
1 - 2
NOR
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1968 |
OIF
2 - 1
NOR
29%
22%
49%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1968 |
NOR
2 - 2
AIK
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |