Crusaders vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
6º
5º
65
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 0
CRU
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CRU
4 - 0
NEW
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
CRU
0 - 1
BAL
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
COL
1 - 2
CRU
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
LAR
4 - 1
CRU
42%
26%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
POR
0 - 2
GLE
8%
20%
72%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GLE
0 - 1
CLI
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
COL
0 - 0
GLE
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
GLE
2 - 1
GLE
30%
26%
43%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GLE
3 - 1
DUN
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |