Crusaders vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
CRU
6 - 2
INS
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 2
KFS
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
CRU
0 - 4
KIL
66%
20%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
KFS
4 - 1
CRU
59%
21%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
LEV
1 - 1
CRU
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
DON
1 - 2
GLE
13%
19%
68%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
ZIL
3 - 0
GLE
68%
19%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 4
ZIL
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 0
POR
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 0
CLI
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |