Crusaders vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
CRU
3 - 0
RRF
94%
5%
1%
|
70 | 14 | 56 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 0
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
CRU
2 - 2
CLI
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 1
COL
71%
18%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 2
CRU
14%
21%
65%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 1
GLE
22%
25%
54%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
GLE
2 - 0
CLI
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2015 |
POR
5 - 3
GLE
40%
26%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 4
GLE
20%
26%
54%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |