Crusaders vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 3
CRU
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 1
INS
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CRU
4 - 1
CAR
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GLE
3 - 7
CRU
39%
24%
37%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CRU
4 - 1
WAR
80%
13%
6%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
GLE
4 - 0
BAL
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
GLE
49%
24%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
GLE
3 - 0
DUN
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
GLE
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 2
GLE
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |