Crusaders vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
CRU
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 0
CRU
19%
23%
57%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 0
DON
84%
12%
5%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 0
CRU
20%
23%
57%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 2
CRU
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 1
GLE
36%
26%
39%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
GLE
3 - 0
LIS
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 0
COL
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 3
GLE
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 4
GLE
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |