Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 1
CRU
13%
21%
67%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 4
INS
86%
10%
4%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CRU
1 - 0
WAR
84%
11%
5%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 4
CRU
27%
24%
49%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CRU
5 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GLE
3 - 1
BAL
68%
18%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 1
GLE
14%
20%
66%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GLE
3 - 1
DUN
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LIN
4 - 3
GLE
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
POR
2 - 2
GLE
41%
24%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |