Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CRU
0 - 0
LIN
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
POR
2 - 2
CRU
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CRU
2 - 1
GLE
40%
25%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
CLI
1 - 0
CRU
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
BAL
2 - 2
CRU
33%
28%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CLI
4 - 1
DUN
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIN
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
DUN
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
GLE
1 - 0
DUN
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
DUN
1 - 1
COL
43%
25%
33%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |