Crusaders vs Donegal Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
CRU
1 - 1
COL
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 3
CRU
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
CRU
20%
23%
58%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CRU
1 - 2
GLE
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
FUL
4 - 0
CRU
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
DON
2 - 3
BAL
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GLE
1 - 2
DON
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LIN
5 - 0
DON
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
DON
1 - 0
POR
24%
23%
52%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
DON
1 - 2
DUN
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |