Crusaders vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
5º
41
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 4
CRU
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 1
CRU
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 2
CRU
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CRU
1 - 2
GLE
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
LAR
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 2
COL
11%
20%
69%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
COL
3 - 0
LIN
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CLI
4 - 1
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
GLE
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |