Crusaders vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CRU
4 - 1
CLI
47%
24%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
BAN
4 - 2
CRU
22%
21%
57%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
CRU
14%
21%
65%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CRU
3 - 0
WAR
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 2
CRU
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
COL
1 - 2
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 2
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
COL
4 - 0
INS
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
POR
0 - 2
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
COL
1 - 0
GLE
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |