Crusaders vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CRU
0 - 2
CLI
45%
23%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
CLI
3 - 1
CRU
50%
24%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GLE
4 - 5
CRU
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
LIS
0 - 2
CRU
15%
21%
64%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
CRU
3 - 0
LIN
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 1
COL
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GLE
1 - 1
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 3
COL
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
COL
1 - 3
CRU
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
COL
0 - 3
POR
53%
23%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -3 |