Crusaders vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 1
LIN
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CLI
1 - 1
CRU
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
CRU
0 - 1
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 4
CRU
31%
26%
44%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 1
CRU
19%
21%
61%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
LIN
0 - 0
COL
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
COL
4 - 1
POR
49%
24%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
GLE
59%
22%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
COL
1 - 0
CLI
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |