Crusaders vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
4º
2º
75
4º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 10 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
64 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
85 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
75 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CRU
1 - 2
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LAR
0 - 1
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
CRU
10%
19%
71%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CRU
1 - 1
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 4
CRU
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LAR
8 - 1
CLI
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
COL
2 - 2
CLI
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
CLI
0 - 2
LAR
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CLI
2 - 0
LAR
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 3
CLI
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |