Crusaders vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
6º
5º
66
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
47%
24%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
CRU
21%
24%
54%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 0
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CRU
3 - 0
DUN
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CLI
1 - 2
DUN
84%
12%
5%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 1
GLE
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 1
CLI
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CLI
3 - 0
POR
84%
12%
4%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 0
CLI
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |