Crusaders vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
BAN
4 - 2
CRU
22%
21%
57%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
CRU
14%
21%
65%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CRU
3 - 0
WAR
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 2
CRU
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CRU
1 - 4
GLE
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
CLI
2 - 0
POR
56%
21%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
CLI
3 - 1
WAR
84%
12%
4%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 3
CLI
14%
21%
64%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CLI
3 - 2
BAL
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 3
CLI
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |