Crusaders vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
GLE
3 - 2
CRU
17%
22%
60%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 0
DUN
82%
13%
6%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 1
CRU
23%
22%
56%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CRU
0 - 1
LIN
46%
24%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
POR
1 - 3
CRU
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
DON
1 - 3
CLI
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CLI
1 - 2
COL
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
CLI
1 - 2
COL
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CLI
3 - 1
LIS
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 4
CLI
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |