Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
5º
4º
3
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 59 |
1º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 59 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 55 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 53 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 51 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 50 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 49 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 40 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 35 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 35 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 35 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 27 |
12º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
83% | 4% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17% | 96% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CRU
1 - 1
CLI
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
CRU
18%
24%
58%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
47%
25%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 6
CRU
24%
22%
55%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CRU
3 - 0
NEY
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 3
GLE
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LOU
3 - 0
CAR
47%
24%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
GLE
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
DUN
54%
22%
24%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 7
CAR
8%
14%
78%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |