Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
5º
38
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 1
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 3
CRU
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
CRU
0 - 3
LAR
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
CRU
17%
22%
60%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 1
NEW
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
LAR
22%
26%
52%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAR
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
CRU
17%
22%
60%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
LOU
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |