Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
5º
38
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 0
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
CRU
20%
24%
56%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
RBK
3 - 2
CRU
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 2
RBK
37%
24%
39%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 2
CRU
14%
18%
68%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CLI
4 - 0
CAR
79%
14%
6%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
COL
11%
21%
69%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
NEW
50%
24%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 4
CAR
16%
21%
63%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 3
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |