Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GLE
3 - 7
CRU
39%
24%
37%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CRU
4 - 1
WAR
80%
13%
6%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 2
CRU
26%
23%
51%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 1
CRU
18%
23%
59%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
CRU
6 - 0
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 0
HAR
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
INS
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
KNO
0 - 5
CAR
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 2
CAR
43%
24%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
DER
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |