Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
COL
1 - 0
CRU
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
COL
0 - 2
CRU
44%
23%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 2
LIS
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
82%
12%
6%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
POR
13%
21%
66%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LIN
4 - 1
CAR
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 3
DON
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
BAL
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
LIN
5 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | -1 |