Crusaders vs Ballymoney United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.1%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CLI
0 - 0
CRU
46%
23%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 1
CRU
14%
22%
64%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 1
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 1
CSF
91%
7%
2%
|
71 | 34 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
CRU
5 - 1
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymoney United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
BMF
1 - 0
TOB
59%
21%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
KRF
1 - 0
BMF
19%
21%
60%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
BMF
1 - 0
BAN
42%
24%
35%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
BMF
3 - 3
WAK
58%
21%
22%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
GLE
1 - 2
BMF
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |