Crusaders vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
5º
19
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 1
CRU
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
WAR
0 - 5
CRU
17%
19%
64%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
COL
0 - 4
CRU
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
CRU
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
66%
20%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 2
NEW
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
4 - 0
LIS
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 1
BAL
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 2
CLI
18%
24%
58%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 3
LOU
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |